Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7f390cec7090f342610254851171e57870fdcc78979cf6fd76428ad0b4ff30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,883 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 54c | 33,334$18,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.78 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 15,652$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 46c | 15,652$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 12,618$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.94 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 46c | 12,561$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 11,796$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.92 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 45c | 11,005$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 8,257$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 6,282$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.45 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 56c | 5,371$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 4,933$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.56 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 4,277$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 3,324$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 45c | 3,298$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 47c | 3,242$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 2c | 3,220$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 46c | 2,910$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Under | 45c | 2,578$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 55c | 2,544$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 44c | 2,309$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,309$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 65c | 1,944$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 62c | 1,428$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.88 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 46c | 753.93$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 721.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 56c | 643$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 617.39$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 56c | 522$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 518.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.61 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 500.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 35c | 492.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 484.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Over | 49c | 470$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 55c | 461.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 375$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Over | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 362.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 56c | 360.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 308.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 266.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 258.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 45c | 258.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 245.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 23c | 222.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 21c | 208$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 56c | 204$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Over | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 57c | 154.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 149.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 56c | 144.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 22c | 142$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 45c | 136.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 55c | 123.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…43e6backed Over | 55c | 123.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 46c | 119.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 52c | 100.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…6314backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…0615backed Under | 45c | 97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Over | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.