Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b245fb7018197e82132695a8e256386a9e518025543e772027ac1d21cf29d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, 1. FC Union Berlin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,220 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 32c | 7,290$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 5,920$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 5,139$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.75 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 31c | 4,369$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.73 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 32c | 2,510$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 1,886$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 1,663$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 41c | 1,603$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Bayern München | 67c | 1,415$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.23 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 25c | 1,308$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.46 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 1,034$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.11 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 746.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 727.14$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 681.68$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 621.84$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked FC Bayern München | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 34c | 480.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked FC Bayern München | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 424.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 41c | 414.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 38c | 386.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 378.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 32c | 352$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 48c | 350.23$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 322.77$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 299.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 31c | 154$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 118.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 49c | 115.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Bayern München | 56c | 110.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 101.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…1c4bbacked FC Bayern München | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 98.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed FC Bayern München | 73c | 92.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 90.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 48c | 87.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 86.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 84.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 77c | 82.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 36c | 80.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 74.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…0af8backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…55c5backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a3f2backed FC Bayern München | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…41f8backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 34c | 62.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 32c | 61.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 34c | 60.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 60.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 57.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 48c | 55.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 53.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…acf8backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 49.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked 1. FC Union Berlin | 48c | 47.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…c5ddbacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked FC Bayern München | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 33c | 41.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…0a65backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…c9f7backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 43c | 37.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FC Bayern München | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed FC Bayern München | 67c | 36.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed 1. FC Union Berlin | 32c | 32.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 32.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Bayern München | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…126bbacked FC Bayern München | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b0…16a0backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.