TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8559…c9f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT7047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.57
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.32
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$62.86
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$92.95
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$42.63
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.39
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$39.21
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.24
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.8
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.11
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$24.49
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.25
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$28.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
World Championships: Norway vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$32.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.89
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$36.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.