NHL · resolved market
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31bee37eb59c82c8bfaee9a4f370e13566cd48f20023f8d5ea536747ceda34b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 43c | 5,835$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.59 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canucks | 57c | 2,793$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.18 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 58c | 2,128$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 58c | 1,054$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.53 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 58c | 950$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canucks | 55c | 832.36$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.74 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 59c | 797.63$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canucks | 56c | 667$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Canucks | 57c | 608$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 15c | 417.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Ducks | 32c | 308$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Canucks | 59c | 304.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Ducks | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Canucks | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ducks | 42c | 236.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Ducks | 47c | 203.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 40c | 193.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ducks | 42c | 177.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Ducks | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Canucks | 59c | 166.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 34c | 164.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Canucks | 49c | 155.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Canucks | 59c | 138.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Ducks | 51c | 118.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 50c | 110.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Canucks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Ducks | 31c | 101.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Ducks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Canucks | 59c | 88.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ducks | 47c | 82.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ducks | 40c | 79.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Ducks | 41c | 75.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Ducks | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 60c | 69.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Ducks | 41c | 67.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…c9f7backed Ducks | 46c | 60.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Canucks | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ducks | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ducks | 40c | 55.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canucks | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Canucks | 59c | 53.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Ducks | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Canucks | 43c | 51.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…f55cbacked Canucks | 73c | 51.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Canucks | 70c | 50.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Ducks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Canucks | 55c | 49.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Ducks | 42c | 49.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Canucks | 61c | 44.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Canucks | 46c | 44.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 58c | 43.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Canucks | 58c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Ducks | 30c | 38.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Ducks | 41c | 37.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Canucks | 52c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Ducks | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…db7ebacked Canucks | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Canucks | 64c | 34.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5f…1238backed Canucks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Ducks | 43c | 32.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Canucks | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…9f27backed Canucks | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6a38backed Canucks | 60c | 29.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Canucks | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Canucks | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Canucks | 58c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Canucks | 53c | 25.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canucks | 53c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Canucks | 60c | 20.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Ducks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Canucks | 68c | 17.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Canucks | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. CanucksDucks won
- Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.