TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9382…4ee3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT11658.6%68 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.33
Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$22
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.93
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$17.92
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.77
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$26.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.38
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.83
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$84.64
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$33.25
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.53
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$26.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.24
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$52.16
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$130.61
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.28
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.39
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.85
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$19.51
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+74%+$18.99
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$20.22
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.45
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.63
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$300.82
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.16
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$15.65
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$61.7
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.26
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.67
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$34.33
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)backed San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-9.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Troy Trojans (-17.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+91.2%+$34.18
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-4.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.8
James Madison Dukes vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.89
Queens (NC) Royals vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.28
Lafayette Leopards vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.08
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+90.7%+$24.03
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Spread: VCU Rams (-6.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.1%+$14.18
Spread: Florida Gators (-22.5)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$29.12
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.86
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskies: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-5.5)backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.89
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.05
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-2.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+98%+$34.91
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.88
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$31.15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.9
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.14
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.54
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.93
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$44.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.34
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.14
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.74
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.17
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$74.87
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$15.64
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$18.27
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.77
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$31.89
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.33
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.39
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.87
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$33.7
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.16
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$29.51
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$23.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.79
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$57.96
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102.3%+$22.49
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.66
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.64
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$32.05
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.69
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.32
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.36
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$34.47
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.32
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.9%+$37.69
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.