Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2865f6d51039c0c4b12a27dfaa3938b0801dcfe817b063d64fab22cba9ded2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Francisco Dons | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.99 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed San Francisco Dons | 45c | 3,064$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.68 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 2,207$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 2,066$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 53c | 2,034$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 1,953$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked San Francisco Dons | 47c | 1,906$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 58c | 1,819$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Dons | 43c | 1,511$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed San Francisco Dons | 47c | 1,434$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed San Francisco Dons | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 681.47$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 592.23$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Dons | 31c | 584.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed San Francisco Dons | 44c | 384$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 55c | 329$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed San Francisco Dons | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 69c | 239.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked San Francisco Dons | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…cbe2backed San Francisco Dons | 53c | 171.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed San Francisco Dons | 44c | 126.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked San Francisco Dons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Francisco Dons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed San Francisco Dons | 46c | 82.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed San Francisco Dons | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Francisco Dons | 24c | 62.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed San Francisco Dons | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed San Francisco Dons | 53c | 35.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 32.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed San Francisco Dons | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked San Francisco Dons | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 22.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked San Francisco Dons | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f561backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco DonsGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 148.5Under won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 149.5Under won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.