TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6e3…6dfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
625
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT27450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+517.8%+$1,839.33
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,698.92
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$3,914.94
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,393.81
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$7,992.41
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$582.38
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,225.8
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2,625.64
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$791.74
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.76
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$1,452.66
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$693.57
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,778.68
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$486.28
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$222.45
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.71
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.45
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$610.33
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31%+$1,010.91
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-8.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.09
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$423.58
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$221
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.11
Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$159.1
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$304.31
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT23052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 230 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$468
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.32
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.53
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,559Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$2,540.65
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$800.29
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.95
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,434.25
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,234.1
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$377.47
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.85
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.89
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.75
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,468.5
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$703.59
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,373.12
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,254.58
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$834.75
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,751Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,893.2
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,936
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$647.57
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.93
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.55
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Showing 25 of 230 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.12
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,424.24
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$1,639
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,893.72
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$103.25
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,884.67
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,814.15
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,697Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,052.48
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,374
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$2,283.8
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$732.95
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400
Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$559.04
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,287
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$772.29
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$672.79
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,725.81
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,070.71
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+101.1%+$4,046.21
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$382
Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,989.8
Devils vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$883
Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$54.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,915.17
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.5
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.48
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,985.89
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.36
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,084.8
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.75
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,993.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,890.33
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,659Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$2,803.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$1,535.78
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.3
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$1,887.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$520.84
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,582.71
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,606.19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,390.66
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,413.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,878.34
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,032.37
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,850.54
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,067.77
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9,360
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,103.74
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Austen Lane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.92
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$419.04
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,086
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.51
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$1,376.04
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+71%+$12,033.89
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,463
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$991.6
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$735
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$210
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2,103.91
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Ernesta Kareckaite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,188
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$97.56
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$295.6
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,028
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$593
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,986Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+272.4%+$8,135.98
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,673.85
Men's Group A - France vs. Czechiabacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$117.56
Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakiabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.47
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$193
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+400%+$480
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$654.58
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$541.18
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.1%+$3,984.52
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.8%+$1,853.15
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53%+$4,065.87
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.1%+$4,496.04
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
All 7 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Paris Basketballbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.91
Partizan vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,931
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexican Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,442
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.