UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041a123fc00ed9079b450f1209c724658d2ae3379611f80dc67f83ca33fd91c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguezof Borjas, Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Borjas | 22c | 56,329$12,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,229.04 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rodriguez | 78c | 35,096$27,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,757.76 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Rodriguez | 79c | 22,000$17,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Borjas | 21c | 15,307$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Borjas | 21c | 12,630$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rodriguez | 79c | 11,000$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…feafbacked Borjas | 0c | 10,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Borjas | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rodriguez | 78c | 9,552$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Borjas | 21c | 9,383$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Rodriguez | 79c | 5,762$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Rodriguez | 80c | 5,192$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.17 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Rodriguez | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Rodriguez | 80c | 4,895$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Borjas | 21c | 4,287$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Borjas | 24c | 4,198$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Borjas | 26c | 4,188$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Borjas | 28c | 4,091$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.41 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Borjas | 22c | 3,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Rodriguez | 72c | 3,480$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rodriguez | 73c | 3,410$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.96 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed Borjas | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Rodriguez | 79c | 2,652$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Rodriguez | 78c | 2,548$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Rodriguez | 79c | 2,539$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Borjas | 27c | 2,524$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.7 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rodriguez | 71c | 2,426$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.24 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Borjas | 21c | 2,281$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Rodriguez | 80c | 2,106$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.28 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rodriguez | 79c | 2,059$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Rodriguez | 79c | 1,910$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Borjas | 23c | 1,778$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Rodriguez | 76c | 1,724$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Rodriguez | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Borjas | 26c | 1,598$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Borjas | 22c | 1,500$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Rodriguez | 76c | 1,370$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Rodriguez | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rodriguez | 79c | 1,263$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Rodriguez | 74c | 1,232$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Borjas | 23c | 1,227$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Borjas | 28c | 1,111$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Borjas | 28c | 1,087$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Borjas | 27c | 1,063$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Rodriguez | 78c | 1,003$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Rodriguez | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Rodriguez | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Borjas | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Borjas | 27c | 995$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Rodriguez | 73c | 980.32$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Borjas | 23c | 875.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Borjas | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rodriguez | 71c | 795.65$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Borjas | 22c | 785.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Rodriguez | 78c | 770.34$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rodriguez | 78c | 749.31$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Borjas | 26c | 706.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Borjas | 31c | 683.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Borjas | 22c | 667.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Borjas | 23c | 663.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Rodriguez | 78c | 640.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Rodriguez | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Borjas | 23c | 604.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…0a7cbacked Borjas | 37c | 564.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Borjas | 50c | 562.92$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Borjas | 20c | 548.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Borjas | 20c | 512.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Rodriguez | 79c | 503$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rodriguez | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Rodriguez | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Borjas | 20c | 496$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Rodriguez | 79c | 480$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Rodriguez | 79c | 474.35$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rodriguez | 78c | 448.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Borjas | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Borjas | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Rodriguez | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Rodriguez | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Borjas | 32c | 376.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Borjas | 20c | 372$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Rodriguez | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Borjas | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Borjas | 27c | 319.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Borjas | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Borjas | 28c | 294.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Rodriguez | 74c | 261.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Borjas | 22c | 259.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rodriguez | 78c | 255.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Borjas | 20c | 252.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Rodriguez | 77c | 246.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Rodriguez | 75c | 238.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rodriguez | 79c | 203.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Rodriguez | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Borjas | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…6244backed Borjas | 50c | 196.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rodriguez | 78c | 192.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…9a1bbacked Rodriguez | 59c | 185.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…1a3ebacked Borjas | 22c | 183.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rodriguez | 64c | 181.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…d34bbacked Borjas | 28c | 177.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Imanol Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.