TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rodriguezof Borjas, Rodriguez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Borjas22c56,329$12,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,229.0419544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rodriguez78c35,096$27,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,757.7611657.8%67 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Rodriguez79c22,000$17,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.9911554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Borjas21c15,307$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.395655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Borjas21c12,630$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60613453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Rodriguez79c11,000$8,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31017158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a2…feafbacked Borjas0c10,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Borjas20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rodriguez78c9,552$7,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Borjas21c9,383$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.895540%22 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Rodriguez79c5,762$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.135151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Rodriguez80c5,192$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.174669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Rodriguez80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked Rodriguez80c4,895$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9791050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Borjas21c4,287$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.8428043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Borjas24c4,198$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Borjas26c4,188$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Borjas28c4,091$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.415653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Borjas22c3,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9915641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Rodriguez72c3,480$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.420954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rodriguez73c3,410$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.9615939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed Borjas23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6904630.4%14 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Rodriguez79c2,652$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.967862.8%49 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Rodriguez78c2,548$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.877244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Rodriguez79c2,539$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.246055%33 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Borjas27c2,524$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.78434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rodriguez71c2,426$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.2421247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Borjas21c2,281$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Rodriguez80c2,106$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.283966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rodriguez79c2,059$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.888754%47 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Rodriguez79c1,910$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Borjas23c1,778$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.311442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Rodriguez76c1,724$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.211250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Rodriguez79c1,600$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Borjas26c1,598$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1837754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Borjas22c1,500$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33120837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1604…ff0ebacked Rodriguez76c1,370$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.82871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Rodriguez79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Rodriguez79c1,263$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9330964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Rodriguez74c1,232$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.45250%26 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Borjas23c1,227$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Borjas28c1,111$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.454240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Borjas28c1,087$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.15841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Borjas27c1,063$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.355642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Rodriguez78c1,003$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.942661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Rodriguez78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Rodriguez79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103177.4%24 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Borjas19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Borjas27c995$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.835541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Rodriguez73c980.32$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Borjas23c875.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1415540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Borjas29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rodriguez71c795.65$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3720139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Borjas22c785.59$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8320933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Rodriguez78c770.34$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.349855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rodriguez78c749.31$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2514551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Borjas26c706.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6633132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Borjas31c683.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.614237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Borjas22c667.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2311332.7%37 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ca7…b4adbacked Borjas23c663.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Rodriguez78c640.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1911761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Rodriguez79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912520%5 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Borjas23c604.33$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2578…0a7cbacked Borjas37c564.11$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Borjas50c562.92$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4635848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Borjas20c548.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6653956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Borjas20c512.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.584131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Rodriguez79c503$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6335664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rodriguez77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11556450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Rodriguez79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10536655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Borjas20c496$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Rodriguez79c480$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Rodriguez79c474.35$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.352969%20 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rodriguez78c448.61$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.691457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Borjas22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Borjas23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929459.6%56 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Rodriguez78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.626569.2%45 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Rodriguez79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7511364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Borjas32c376.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Borjas20c372$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Rodriguez72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.227647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Borjas22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Borjas27c319.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.082951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Borjas20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.953246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Borjas28c294.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.735736.8%21 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Rodriguez74c261.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.081735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Borjas22c259.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712546.4%58 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rodriguez78c255.16$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1416745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed Borjas20c252.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.592630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Rodriguez77c246.42$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.684461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Rodriguez75c238.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.674254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rodriguez79c203.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.721090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Rodriguez79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427671.1%54 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Borjas23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…6244backed Borjas50c196.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rodriguez78c192.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd212…9a1bbacked Rodriguez59c185.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.773650%18 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ea…1a3ebacked Borjas22c183.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rodriguez64c181.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7722438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf488…d34bbacked Borjas28c177.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.