TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x663d…7d23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$304.55
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.28
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,579.08
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+333.9%+$837.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$282.1
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$839.62
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.21
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.57
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$637.04
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.32
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.26
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$271.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.45
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$252.24
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$200.09
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.4
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,260.14
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$69.43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$121.73
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.2
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.87
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.83
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$704.35
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.84
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$257.27
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$354.16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cameron Smotherman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yi Sak Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.09
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$362.35
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.81
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tim Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.96
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.27
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$87.44
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$249.99
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$389.86
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$350
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$983
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$445.89
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$370
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$142.96
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.91
UFC Fight Night: Angel Pacheco vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$98.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.77
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.55
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$436.28
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+272%+$344.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$296.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$889.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$262.33
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.38
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$214.77
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.6%+$291.84
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$537
Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)backed Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$162
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+107%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+277.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hallbacked Hall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.53
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+655.1%+$658.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$815.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$160.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.