Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b5516f82d97a39d1ef91fead852e01decfae51b9428c6746fca947631b9873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 25c | 3,883$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.24 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,425$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.34 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 1,561$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 75c | 1,460$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 78c | 1,123$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 948.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.57 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 75c | 820.11$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 60c | 699.08$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.7 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 8c | 692$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 8c | 674.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.97 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 2c | 604.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 38c | 554.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.58 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 15c | 541.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 77c | 502.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked Yes | 20c | 493.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.42 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…cfd4backed Yes | 7c | 459.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 442.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 8c | 436.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.67 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 14c | 424.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.82 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 392.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 363.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 80c | 301.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 50c | 296.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 8c | 283$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 4c | 282$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed No | 54c | 277.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 16c | 271.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 70c | 258.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 16c | 244.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 242.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked No | 6c | 231.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 12c | 226.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 46c | 215.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked No | 59c | 211.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 61c | 209.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 33c | 207.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 11c | 202.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 116 | 27.6%32 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 22c | 196.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 36c | 195.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 181.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 15c | 177.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 10c | 173$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 16c | 170.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 62c | 168.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 167.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 49c | 163.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 40c | 161.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 37c | 160.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 148.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 74c | 148$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 143$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed No | 55c | 141.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 38c | 136.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked No | 52c | 132.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 23c | 131.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…c6bbbacked Yes | 10c | 125.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 17c | 123.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 74c | 123.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 31c | 120.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 119.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 75c | 119.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 34c | 118.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 49c | 116.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 80c | 111.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 42c | 108.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 106.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 102$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 41c | 101.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 11c | 94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 16c | 93.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed Yes | 55c | 91.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 45c | 88.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 80c | 88.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 83.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 54c | 80.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed No | 40c | 67.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x028b…4ad0backed Yes | 80c | 65.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 71c | 65.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 65c | 59.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 23c | 59.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…50acbacked No | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…fea9backed Yes | 78c | 56.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…e57abacked Yes | 78c | 56.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 55.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 55.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 65c | 50.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 35c | 49.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…ee21backed Yes | 74c | 48.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 44.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 34c | 42.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.