TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9e9…f1cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT13959%82 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$39.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.95
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.88
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$34.06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.97
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$8.83
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$101.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+118%+$89.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.75
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31%+$62.72
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$74.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$8.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$64.41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.92
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$35.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$76.2
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+269.8%+$75.29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$17.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+378.3%+$51.66
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$47.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$25.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.65
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$57.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$59.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$62.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$212.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$61.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$131.97
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$70.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5.98
Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.81
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$14.68
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.43
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.05
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$3.91
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.76
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.14
Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs DXA Esports (+1.5)backed Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.77
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$9.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$12.42
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Project 91 (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$8.59
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.86
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$13.69
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$50.89
All 25 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5.8
Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)backed University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.95
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winnerbacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$22.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$192.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.