TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Walczakiof ARCRED, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Walczaki75c2,745$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.4121135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED50c2,386$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.265,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Walczaki49c2,149$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.0132139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Walczaki50c2,071$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.0216036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed ARCRED51c1,747$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.2224746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED36c1,446$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.744,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ARCRED50c1,123$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.372,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ARCRED42c1,043$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.221,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Walczaki49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.417843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed ARCRED1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Walczaki50c901.69$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8148240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Walczaki49c745$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8628455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd186…ed6ebacked Walczaki50c730$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3652445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed ARCRED42c713.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Walczaki50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed ARCRED50c599.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Walczaki50c595$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.516351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ARCRED50c540.56$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.011,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Walczaki49c523$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7321744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED23c500.26$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.052,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed ARCRED49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Walczaki51c499.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9720750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki49c499.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed ARCRED51c499.14$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5620743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Walczaki50c488.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8946447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed ARCRED49c469.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4945465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki66c457.83$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.262,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki73c449.48$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.037,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ARCRED50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Walczaki50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b50…b417backed Walczaki51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Walczaki51c387.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.347447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked ARCRED52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Walczaki49c382.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.146541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed ARCRED36c356.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Walczaki50c343.56$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7823732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Walczaki49c317.71$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.031,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked ARCRED51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15322751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed ARCRED51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15335153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Walczaki49c288.6$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0715349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki56c284.61$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.322,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Walczaki61c255.42$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.594,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed ARCRED53c253.68$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13542757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked Walczaki53c235$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.94348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed ARCRED19c229.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8114137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Walczaki49c222.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Walczaki49c216.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3310137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Walczaki50c212.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed ARCRED50c210.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Walczaki49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ARCRED49c196.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed ARCRED51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Walczaki49c170.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.135944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ARCRED15c165.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed ARCRED50c156.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.712049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Walczaki49c147.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8228549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki61c146.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.495,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Walczaki48c127.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2140542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ARCRED51c127.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.522,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki57c127$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.762,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed ARCRED52c125.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Walczaki50c121.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8730951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED30c121.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.714,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed ARCRED50c121.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.634750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Walczaki50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Walczaki51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.456445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED26c101.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.994,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Walczaki50c101.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.655549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Walczaki51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4937050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Walczaki80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed ARCRED20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Walczaki50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed ARCRED50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed ARCRED24c83.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked ARCRED51c80.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed Walczaki50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Walczaki65c76.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6458745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki60c73.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.313,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Walczaki49c71.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2649149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Walczaki49c71.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4133146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Walczaki51c69.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked ARCRED51c68.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9815751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ARCRED49c67.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2740155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed ARCRED46c63.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1312844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED23c63.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.913,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Walczaki51c57.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed ARCRED30c54.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4318747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed Walczaki49c53.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.226251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Walczaki49c52.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.644744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ARCRED50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Walczaki50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked ARCRED52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked ARCRED22c49.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.884738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked ARCRED51c47.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4921254.2%115 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked ARCRED41c44.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.193661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed ARCRED48c41.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Walczaki66c41.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.