CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85cd618b6ca9e8ee6dc3423fde991bd748eafe2e2cd8fc9defa034c39fb0b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof ARCRED, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Walczaki | 75c | 2,745$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ARCRED | 50c | 2,386$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Walczaki | 49c | 2,149$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.01 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Walczaki | 50c | 2,071$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.02 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed ARCRED | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.22 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED | 36c | 1,446$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ARCRED | 50c | 1,123$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ARCRED | 42c | 1,043$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Walczaki | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed ARCRED | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Walczaki | 50c | 901.69$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Walczaki | 49c | 745$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Walczaki | 50c | 730$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed ARCRED | 42c | 713.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Walczaki | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed ARCRED | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Walczaki | 50c | 595$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ARCRED | 50c | 540.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Walczaki | 49c | 523$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ARCRED | 23c | 500.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed ARCRED | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Walczaki | 51c | 499.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki | 49c | 499.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ARCRED | 51c | 499.14$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Walczaki | 50c | 488.74$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ARCRED | 49c | 469.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 66c | 457.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 73c | 449.48$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ARCRED | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Walczaki | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed Walczaki | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Walczaki | 51c | 387.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked ARCRED | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Walczaki | 49c | 382.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed ARCRED | 36c | 356.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Walczaki | 50c | 343.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Walczaki | 49c | 317.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked ARCRED | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ARCRED | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Walczaki | 49c | 288.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 56c | 284.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 61c | 255.42$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ARCRED | 53c | 253.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Walczaki | 53c | 235$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed ARCRED | 19c | 229.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Walczaki | 49c | 222.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Walczaki | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Walczaki | 50c | 212.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ARCRED | 50c | 210.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Walczaki | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ARCRED | 49c | 196.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ARCRED | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Walczaki | 49c | 170.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ARCRED | 15c | 165.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed ARCRED | 50c | 156.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Walczaki | 49c | 147.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 61c | 146.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Walczaki | 48c | 127.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ARCRED | 51c | 127.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed ARCRED | 52c | 125.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Walczaki | 50c | 121.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED | 30c | 121.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ARCRED | 50c | 121.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Walczaki | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Walczaki | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED | 26c | 101.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Walczaki | 50c | 101.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Walczaki | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Walczaki | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed ARCRED | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Walczaki | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed ARCRED | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed ARCRED | 24c | 83.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ARCRED | 51c | 80.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Walczaki | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Walczaki | 65c | 76.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 60c | 73.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Walczaki | 49c | 71.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Walczaki | 49c | 71.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Walczaki | 51c | 69.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked ARCRED | 51c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed ARCRED | 49c | 67.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed ARCRED | 46c | 63.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED | 23c | 63.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Walczaki | 51c | 57.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed ARCRED | 30c | 54.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed Walczaki | 49c | 53.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Walczaki | 49c | 52.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ARCRED | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Walczaki | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked ARCRED | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked ARCRED | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked ARCRED | 51c | 47.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked ARCRED | 41c | 44.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed ARCRED | 48c | 41.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Walczaki | 66c | 41.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.