TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ffb…f7f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
859
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT51550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 515 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.7
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.86
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+275.4%+$88.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$51.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.51
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.29
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.14
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$18.8
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$79.15
Showing 25 of 515 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 309 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$81.37
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$98.43
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$261.77
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$70.93
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$43.26
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$87.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$133.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.36
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.46
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$50.95
Showing 25 of 309 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$165.73
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$134.45
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.79
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$90.84
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.7
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$58.42
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.47
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.04
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$60.28
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$119.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$213.45
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+856.9%+$454.14
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$489.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$244.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$223.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.