TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance29c26,635$7,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,849.235,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed 9z74c25,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,499.9220354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z73c20,000$14,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,509.7150054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z58c20,000$11,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.9576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 9z66c14,920$9,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,831.3463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked 9z43c13,953$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked 9z75c13,290$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Alliance57c11,000$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.2464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Alliance28c10,476$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,502.322240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alliance34c10,258$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,745.7540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Alliance26c10,253$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,587.325641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alliance39c8,483$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.541,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance24c8,000$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,044.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Alliance25c8,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9471645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Alliance28c7,022$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,056.153743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Alliance25c6,920$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,19023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance18c6,521$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,322.952,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z62c6,432$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.773,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed 9z47c6,320$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.817554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Alliance30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134b…7456backed Alliance18c5,827$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed 9z72c5,742$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.246352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z46c5,739$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked 9z56c5,705$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2202626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked 9z75c5,630$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Alliance26c5,304$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.0625355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 9z70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z63c4,989$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Alliance26c4,687$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.5763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Alliance57c4,059$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.3721854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Alliance57c4,057$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.485455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed 9z3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Alliance26c3,740$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.717337%27 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Alliance26c3,600$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.0528549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Alliance49c3,560$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.091,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Alliance54c3,500$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.1343951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Alliance39c3,359$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.077732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked 9z70c3,275$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.54250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Alliance47c3,264$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.5861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z55c3,097$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.16,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Alliance57c3,062$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.655160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 9z76c3,046$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed 9z42c3,013$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.735048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed 9z71c3,009$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.3114846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 9z44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed 9z72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1609550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked Alliance57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed 9z72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z53c2,767$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.475,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Alliance29c2,762$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.162,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Alliance57c2,750$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance29c2,746$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked 9z70c2,705$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.5923646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance28c2,602$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.41,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Alliance56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed 9z66c2,291$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.428045%36 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Alliance44c2,249$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.8611843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked 9z76c2,072$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.5211758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Alliance26c2,064$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5273959%23 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked Alliance57c2,054$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed 9z75c2,052$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.3421545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Alliance57c2,048$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.633357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Alliance55c2,025$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.6598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Alliance25c2,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed 9z1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed 9z43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed 9z75c2,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alliance59c1,987$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.331,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed 9z56c1,915$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.4826360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Alliance26c1,862$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.5424233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 9z43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance27c1,790$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.951,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Alliance30c1,724$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b68…08bbbacked 9z75c1,723$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked 9z58c1,712$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.537047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed 9z75c1,650$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Alliance30c1,649$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.9846555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Alliance26c1,643$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.882,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Alliance25c1,541$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.8111547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z75c1,518$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.741,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked 9z55c1,500$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed 9z73c1,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.9910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed 9z66c1,430$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5612154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked 9z71c1,400$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99423858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 9z68c1,399$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.5336450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked 9z13c1,250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed Alliance33c1,250$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.192744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed 9z71c1,219$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4727156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Alliance31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.9925145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance26c1,157$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.4252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Alliance60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.120745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked 9z60c1,143$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.897054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed 9z70c1,131$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0419340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 9z73c1,128$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82546165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Alliance26c1,120$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.838844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed 9z45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.125749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Alliance55c1,034$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 9z68c1,020$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.7461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.