TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof 9z, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance61c18,491$11,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,223.855,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance60c9,601$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.122,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked 9z48c9,447$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 9z40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8909…652ebacked Alliance60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked 9z1c6,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Alliance54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed 9z42c5,833$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47322044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed 9z44c5,147$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.3419840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance55c5,002$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.0184958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Alliance53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3506144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed 9z45c4,683$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.1465546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16066851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Alliance60c4,471$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 9z39c4,403$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1626952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 9z39c4,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9961948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed 9z48c3,692$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.358540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked 9z39c3,137$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.1134943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked Alliance45c3,010$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Alliance56c2,846$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2612,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked 9z46c2,748$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.299549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6922…5d9cbacked 9z39c2,612$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f3…f65bbacked 9z39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed 9z38c1,613$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.911349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance61c1,333$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.454,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked 9z38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z39c1,216$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4227753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed 9z47c1,195$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.319245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Alliance61c1,158$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.972,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z41c1,100$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Alliance52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed 9z43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9e…66cbbacked 9z41c976$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.161060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…f7bcbacked 9z41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Alliance51c888$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.121,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 9z42c836.8$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Alliance60c828.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Alliance61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6759755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Alliance63c798.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7731761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed 9z45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.51,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z42c722.42$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.821,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed 9z46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked 9z38c610.6$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0314853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked 9z39c524$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed 9z45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked 9z37c498.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3220248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alliance53c497.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.331,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked 9z26c495.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8633340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance57c490.63$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.323,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked 9z48c459.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1934140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed 9z51c435.29$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8950050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed 9z40c407.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16317146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked 9z47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed 9z41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed 9z44c339.74$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Alliance56c338.64$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15064854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked 9z38c328.72$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9111444.7%51 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked 9z45c300$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed 9z41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12319152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed 9z40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…2839backed 9z43c300$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z38c285.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5423952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Alliance55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.735848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed 9z39c257.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed 9z40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Alliance55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked 9z39c246.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 9z40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Alliance63c239.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed 9z39c236.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.417944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked 9z44c232.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.333759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Alliance54c220.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.414542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed 9z52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9538954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked 9z38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7615648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Alliance57c186.46$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4620045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Alliance56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5739955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked 9z43c172.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked 9z39c169.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Alliance55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.517251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed 9z39c142.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.916654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed 9z40c135$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5437453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked 9z46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked 9z39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed 9z39c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 9z41c112.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4654543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed 9z45c106.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.918339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Alliance55c106.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alliance62c103.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed 9z38c102.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9833448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked 9z39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked 9z38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3816156.5%91 W · 70 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed 9z60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6920349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Alliance55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked 9z44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4438157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e6…bbb7backed Alliance49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e96…e128backed 9z39c97.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed 9z36c94.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.318933.7%30 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8eb…9d25backed Alliance44c90.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.172733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed 9z39c89.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.