TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x972f…65bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
843
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT39157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 391 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.1
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$181.66
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$143.6
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$439.59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$698
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$315.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304.61
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$351.64
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$316.87
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$153.61
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$277.27
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$255.41
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$253.69
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$245.07
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Showing 25 of 391 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$623
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$873
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$447.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$4,581.08
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,835.93
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,486
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,028.89
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$984.47
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,888
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$684
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$844.62
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,329.23
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$942
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$358
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$311.11
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$178.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$301.84
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$288.42
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT13257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$126.21
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$172.67
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,029
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$692.14
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$842
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$649.37
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$593
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$451.39
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)backed LDU de Quito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.16
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$794.58
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,980
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,663.62
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$597.4
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed Cruzeiro EC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$981
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT12152.9%64 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,397
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$636.55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,663
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$998.91
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$434.53
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$591
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,478.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$542
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$915.3
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,172.41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$614.73
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$684
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$853.71
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$396.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$748
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$732.71
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$503.68
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$575.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$301.55
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$472.84
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$438.08
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$867
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$548.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$127.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$518.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$166.54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$67.52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.87
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$305.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$276.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.6
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+74.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$241.34
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$466.67
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$754.49
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,554.2
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$575
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$150
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$818.53
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$640.65
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$306.26
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$88.02
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$558.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$134.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.