TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$604,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$625,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs48c302,893$144,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,930.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks52c182,441$94,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,571.8826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks53c53,003$28,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,731.3618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spurs46c44,229$20,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,345.317650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks53c34,863$18,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,389.0239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Spurs48c33,475$15,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,922.0615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Knicks53c28,451$15,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,371.8925753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs47c26,596$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Knicks52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0005459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c20,000$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs50c17,248$8,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,624.1956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks53c16,831$8,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,911.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks51c11,415$5,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,592.3155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Knicks52c11,111$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.2814538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Spurs47c10,140$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks53c9,982$5,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.0852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs46c8,774$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.0411447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs48c8,715$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c8,117$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.7464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks52c6,638$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.241,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Spurs47c6,349$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs47c6,021$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks53c5,472$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.8562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs48c5,191$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Knicks52c3,881$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.023348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Knicks65c3,500$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.21560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs47c3,360$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.415850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs34c2,821$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.731,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Knicks45c2,642$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.073043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs45c2,511$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.8665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs56c2,308$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.481,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Spurs47c2,106$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks54c1,999$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed Spurs46c1,598$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca9…02e1backed Spurs47c1,571$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks55c1,507$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs31c1,321$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Spurs45c1,183$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.539447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Knicks54c925$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.523553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Knicks53c924.53$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5312152.9%64 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Spurs47c905.99$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Spurs47c854.72$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.722850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Spurs48c851.06$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.513935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Spurs45c825.62$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.535839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs46c760.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks52c750$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Knicks54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.745964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Spurs50c715.15$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.588644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks53c644.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Spurs47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs25c633.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks54c626.66$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2888355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Spurs49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs45c565.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9317247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs48c560.76$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.381,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Knicks54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5622053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spurs45c513.4$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0310447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Spurs47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks60c500$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs45c446$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.71,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Spurs58c422.84$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2411647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs46c386.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…0879backed Spurs46c369.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…2ac4backed Knicks55c360.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks53c360$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs29c349.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Spurs49c338.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.376747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Spurs47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d0…606abacked Spurs47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks55c317.08$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Knicks53c312$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6427450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks53c307.75$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spurs47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Knicks52c299.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Knicks54c268.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.525259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Spurs50c261.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Knicks55c245.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4511541.7%48 W · 67 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs51c242.38$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Spurs48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs5c225$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Knicks55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.185230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Spurs46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs50c214.41$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Spurs47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012248.4%59 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Knicks54c208.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.09650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Spurs48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.418534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Spurs49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks53c200.39$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5318653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x684b…a1fabacked Knicks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed Knicks50c199.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks54c199.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks55c196.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Knicks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.