TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No38c999.33$383 inLost-$382.8433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes57c526.16$300 inWon+$226.169950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No44c300$132 inLost-$13256050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes56c298.21$167 inWon+$131.211,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Yes60c256.13$154 inWon+$102.292568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb0e…90a1backed Yes58c183.52$106 inWon+$77.492272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf56e…a853backed Yes78c172.22$134 inWon+$37.874393%40 W · 3 L+12.5wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes75c148.39$111 inWon+$37.15887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c109.32$41 inLost-$40.9853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed No44c60$26 inLost-$26.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No40c49.7$20 inLost-$19.9226957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x740d…2362backed No46c32.57$15 inLost-$14.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed No42c30$13 inLost-$12.63964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon+$11.326524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked Yes68c22.22$15 inWon+$7.172770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.