TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over33c27,114$8,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,949.925940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c20,783$9,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,898.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over52c18,756$9,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,753.132245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c13,473$8,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over43c10,656$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under57c9,998$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.241855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Under59c7,410$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over45c3,066$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.691338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under55c2,371$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.955269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c2,149$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c2,065$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.0555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over45c1,966$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.0518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under70c1,823$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under71c1,691$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over58c1,615$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.842025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c1,598$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5210447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under56c1,401$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.491,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c844.82$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Under55c727.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Over45c678.89$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.611827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under61c661.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0121640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under55c469.75$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Over46c455.8$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.621225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Over54c386.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.682744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over50c355.58$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7127745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df9…d4b5backed Over42c347.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under53c311.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3215846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Under54c279.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.782556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Under54c256.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over44c254.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under60c253.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under55c249$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.112450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c242.86$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under67c240.1$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1725944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under68c216.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under62c210.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c200.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under55c196$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.26639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c193.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.552,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c191.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.81,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Under59c180.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.927458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over13c175.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c172.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over45c167.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over42c162.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under49c161.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8117848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e52…6577backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over47c136.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c130.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.371,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over39c128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.922748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over40c122.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over50c115.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over26c104.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under52c89.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under57c78.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3812150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under55c73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.855756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under71c72.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over28c69.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over26c66.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.623836.8%14 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over26c54.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Over51c53.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.264050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4df…4cacbacked Under56c53.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+102.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over39c50.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under59c49.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.245671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf35f…605cbacked Over40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under56c47.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9419959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed Under55c43.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c42.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under66c40.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.749157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…8948backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over47c37.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.637437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c36.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2614464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over39c33.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1715759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under63c33.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.216659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Under75c31.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.031145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Under66c30.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562080%16 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under66c30.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over40c29.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9733556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe250…ea7abacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7262…c2f1backed Under63c26.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852875%21 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over40c25.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under50c25.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.663548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under72c24.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c8…34efbacked Under49c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under55c22.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over46c22.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under70c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.473066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.