TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb184…b6c6backed Over49c26,021$12,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,755.623729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c19,857$8,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,796.9855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c19,290$9,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,541.8410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under59c12,275$7,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,078.6685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c11,889$5,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,774.1384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under56c10,841$6,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over44c10,022$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.751338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Under56c9,030$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.352330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5711654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c7,583$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over43c7,500$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.9818044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under57c6,928$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.922245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c4,029$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c3,656$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under56c2,834$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under56c2,314$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.0459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over35c1,810$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over12c1,804$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under55c1,800$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81123652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under66c1,586$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.524159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Under55c986.99$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under58c810.2$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.284245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under50c810.02$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.015349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c800$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over43c704.11$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c589.72$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over15c557.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over38c538.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.215446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Under60c510.67$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.582642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over34c498$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3211145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Under73c478.94$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over29c467.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over42c441.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4812741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over44c395.51$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.946233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over49c387.91$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over11c385$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3520558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under55c366.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over44c318.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.144645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over13c304.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13229346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c288.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c275.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.761,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under49c253.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under74c250.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over17c235$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9516429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c228.97$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under79c222.68$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.881560%9 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under40c218.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…eadfbacked Over50c218.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.385337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Over47c212.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.634344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Under58c209.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.26639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c206.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.831,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Over48c206.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.076946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Over48c205.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under59c202.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd99…76efbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10413133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Under67c193.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.072853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf752…101cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Under52c190.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9d…874abacked Over52c190.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Over19c189.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.762334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under56c187$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8117237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over41c187$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6710545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…5fbebacked Over44c186.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c186.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Under76c171.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.951668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over44c169.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5110840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c165.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.022,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9311450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over41c158.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c155.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.571,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under57c153.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over17c148.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under78c146.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.861471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over36c145.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Under64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c140.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over41c138.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.648563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under65c135.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Under61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.157347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Under68c127.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c125.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over37c123.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.812159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.82744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Over45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.535532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c102.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.