TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2dba…1d6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 52 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT11561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,560
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,585.81
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3,124.06
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$880.19
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$857.1
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$1,413.42
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,961.96
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$1,018.88
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,184.59
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+332.9%+$5,881.31
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,858.22
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,890
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$2,107.3
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,240
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,272.47
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,702.8
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,043.7
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.95
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,904.81
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$818.25
Plovdiv: Sandro Kopp vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.22
Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Luis Felipe Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,849.6
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yi Zhou vs Billy Harrisbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,994.99
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Oceane Dodin vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,529.67
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$147.32
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Geabacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$920
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Harold Mayotbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$979.98
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Nao Hibinobacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.95
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Oceane Dodinbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,199.95
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,566Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,630.25
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Daniel Evans vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$960
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,741.61
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Carol Zhaobacked Justina Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,197.37
Plovdiv: Matteo Martineau vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,050.05
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Hannah Klugman vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+70%+$973.83
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$1,678.33
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkovabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$123.25
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Sofia Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$994.58
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Graybacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$486.57
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Ella Seidelbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$971.36
Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$818.08
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.66
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.95
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$807.43
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$1,155.26
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+224.5%+$728.04
Barcelona vs. CB Murciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,134.28
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,338.79
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$641.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$250.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$338.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$1,514.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,183.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.