MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01192a0d121feb7ecec7fc2cd9f3b090566cd0b705ae9e503609d87497ce08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 2,851$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,819$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 1,053$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 1,026$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 848$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 344.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 235.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 218.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 131$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 119.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 103.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 86.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 80.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 76.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 58.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 53.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 47.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…4d52backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 34.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…fd77backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…e8c1backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…93bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 31.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…b2fcbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…97cabacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 31.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…73f9backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 31.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…f888backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 30.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…09b8backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…4843backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…8799backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 30.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 30.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…b52dbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…a206backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 29.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…b72cbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 29.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…b79fbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…cff4backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 69cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…fc9cbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa627…aee0backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…bba5backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…b032backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 28.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…13b7backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 28.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 28.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…2421backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 28.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 28.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…8ca5backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…5025backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 27.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe76…fb1bbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…2572backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b5f5backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 27.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…eeadbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 26.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…4219backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 25.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…0faebacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…1f1dbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 23.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…443bbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…b866backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…c707backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ef42backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.