TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof Atlanta Braves, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c21,177$12,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,894.2323948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves42c12,120$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,072.634,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves42c11,112$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.1513045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves44c6,578$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c6,020$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.672,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.8361351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves41c2,440$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves41c2,424$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.094,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c2,073$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c1,950$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c1,301$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4192054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.24837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves41c1,195$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.483,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c930.82$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.255,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c860$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves42c833.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves40c648.58$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.978,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves41c616.38$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.022,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Atlanta Braves44c458.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011951.3%61 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Atlanta Braves41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507564%48 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12669351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c286.85$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.742,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c240.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5813441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves41c221.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.963,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c191.47$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.55433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4910744.9%48 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4924350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates75c167.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.76,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates72c149.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Pittsburgh Pirates53c141.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5914858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves18c140.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.352,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates63c131$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.471,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c130$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.31,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.446854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c117$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.312,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates57c112.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.212,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves32c105.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.841,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211256.3%63 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.432850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abf…c736backed Atlanta Braves25c78.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…96cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c76.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.464153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Atlanta Braves42c75.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c74.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.583,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates63c72.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.011,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves36c71.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.985,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c70.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.914555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates64c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5950748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Atlanta Braves41c61.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta Braves41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0199744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Atlanta Braves42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates78c51.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.043,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Atlanta Braves42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves41c48.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves35c47.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Atlanta Braves41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c42.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates52c42.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.363,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Atlanta Braves41c39.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.278155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Atlanta Braves41c36.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c36.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.822,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.913155.7%73 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c33.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8843560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c31.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7621549.8%107 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates73c28.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6315143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.318,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c26.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.829255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2516450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pittsburgh Pirates53c23.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8287352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6513252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates75c15.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.982,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Pittsburgh Pirates78c13.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9163954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates80c13.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.628,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.