TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7677…37c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
609
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT32850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 328 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$288
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$219.24
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.82
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$496
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$376
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$736
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Showing 25 of 328 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT14148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.82
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$801.04
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,600
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$697
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$536.65
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.67
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.94
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$688
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$808.92
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$816
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$800
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,600
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.91
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,046.7
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.08
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$96.88
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$824
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.01
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT11445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,277
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.88
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$329.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$409.69
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$23.49
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$284.63
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$717.6
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$690
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.73
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,241.94
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$943
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.26
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,350.98
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,058
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126.92
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,408
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.3
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$390.4
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$232.8
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.47
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$239.2
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.98
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.