TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,266,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,336,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,266,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under50c250,000$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,0003844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over50c198,762$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c115,770$57,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,986.4864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c89,970$44,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,985.151,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under49c87,096$42,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,391.86445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c58,761$29,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,380.57650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over50c54,994$27,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,497.0120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over51c49,873$25,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,435.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c43,960$22,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,864.0310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Over49c39,470$19,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,340.4111864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over50c34,665$17,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,416.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under20c29,856$6,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,781.011,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c28,122$14,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,061.4625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c27,440$13,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,030.4755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under15c22,280$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,874.731,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under48c21,495$10,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,201.851,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c20,869$10,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,434.514842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over50c20,305$10,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,152.288439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65010949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Under50c14,947$7,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c14,931$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.2515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c12,349$6,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c11,823$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,361.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c11,667$5,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,050.092,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc74d…bb53backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.991338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under41c9,998$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under37c9,994$3,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,296.3556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c9,834$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c8,738$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c8,634$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,31737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over50c8,432$4,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.7785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c8,157$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c7,976$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,552.8852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c7,777$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under50c7,710$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8557248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under51c7,657$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.8620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcc…5e0abacked Over50c7,527$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under53c7,525$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.753467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x425b…7683backed Over50c7,217$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under12c6,959$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,130.891,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c6,744$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.481,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under18c6,640$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.915844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c5,683$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over48c4,936$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.22356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c4,500$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1904,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0445…e4dfbacked Over50c4,130$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0651127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b68…1502backed Under49c3,927$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under50c3,500$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.0365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under33c3,419$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.2618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…524dbacked Under51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c3,368$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.871,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7538…40f9backed Over51c3,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c3,079$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.331,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Under50c2,898$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over51c2,886$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c2,692$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.911,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c2,668$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.8932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under50c2,403$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.55269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c2,374$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.741,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Under51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.941346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c2,165$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.4153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under50c2,096$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f25…abffbacked Under51c2,009$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under55c1,822$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.5323251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over50c1,807$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.738848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under9c1,733$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under50c1,614$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.0286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under49c1,612$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.8716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,523$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c1,416$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.581,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over20c1,411$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.795940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over50c1,360$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68013161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under44c1,355$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.551,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over50c1,343$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.295330.2%16 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under45c1,286$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.3517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over72c1,260$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.616152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over50c1,214$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.235129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over41c1,198$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c1,152$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over47c1,090$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.310146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over20c1,025$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2514953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.