TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks50c8,338$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Spurs38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks48c4,767$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.7842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs49c4,408$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.0810944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c3,517$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0301,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks61c3,423$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.9752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks42c3,114$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.411,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…78e5backed Knicks50c2,951$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks42c2,881$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.361,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs57c2,459$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs75c2,016$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.3911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs39c1,896$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.1564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks29c1,827$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.9319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs38c1,719$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Knicks62c1,381$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks10c1,282$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.5218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs79c1,194$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks62c814.24$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks62c812.65$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.171,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Knicks62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4514727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Spurs53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4242853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks17c786.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.372,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Spurs42c775.38$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks21c745.48$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Spurs39c728.37$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks42c723.85$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.832,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Spurs39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs37c623.51$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.711333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks62c610.66$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0515759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs15c589.93$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks62c519.62$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Spurs38c506.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4111939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks41c489.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.811,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs38c468.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.71,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Spurs57c432$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.161421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks61c417.24$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Knicks62c408.45$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2144751.5%230 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks62c406.86$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.411,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2311239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaca…23d7backed Spurs50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…b79bbacked Knicks48c396.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks42c392.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.831,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs48c387.79$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs50c381.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks62c362.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.92060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks62c360$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.86163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Spurs52c307.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.745160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Spurs38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Spurs38c262.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.592934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs39c257.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Knicks50c254.48$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+78.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks26c229.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Spurs39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Spurs74c203.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.59825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x812e…ab20backed Spurs38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9937848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0420558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs79c176.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs58c175.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.582937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Spurs57c174.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Knicks62c168.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.042070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07a1…9838backed Knicks62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1811742.7%50 W · 67 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs49c157.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7325340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs66c152.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks61c145.79$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.861,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…7360backed Knicks63c139.69$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs51c136.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks62c135.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.882440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks28c114.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs60c97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.152532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks53c91.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.929061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Knicks60c84.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.932576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs58c84.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.154431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs51c80.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks39c79.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks61c78.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs58c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Spurs38c65.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks62c64.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5110548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs62c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6816429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs58c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.493333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Knicks50c59.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks62c53.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2329449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks40c52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd148…6b52backed Spurs39c51.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.183240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Knicks62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6114851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0c…72c1backed Spurs39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs64c50.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4512150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e2…6e01backed Knicks40c50.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks62c50.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.759853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.