TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13d0…4a70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
792
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Mls at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT34639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 346 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$15.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$118.63
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$44.24
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.71
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$45.92
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$183
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$102.76
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.61
Showing 25 of 346 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT32433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 324 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$68.48
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.18
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$55.37
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.98
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.65
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.98
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.77
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.91
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$14.24
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$167.09
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.8
Showing 25 of 324 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$32.76
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$25.69
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$33.59
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.68
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Skybacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.31
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$27.41
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$70.55
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.08
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.84
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$121.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.8
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.81
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$59.23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$182.69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.25
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.84
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$223.07
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.47
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.73
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.16
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$329
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Real Salt Lake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Bekzat Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Mullins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.24
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+384.8%+$249.23
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.