TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes59c69,433$40,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,985.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed No41c62,500$25,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,174.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes60c33,333$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c17,395$7,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,263.2517249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c10,616$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.725,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c9,732$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.781,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c9,094$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,292.161,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9912545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c4,586$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.1839549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes23c3,246$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7574226.2%11 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes57c3,201$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.822,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes60c3,167$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7701947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c2,436$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.8538749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No41c1,991$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.6714948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No62c1,351$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4810837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No78c1,281$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.23366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c1,075$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.251,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes18c997.28$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes21c984$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes57c679.94$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.578655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c674.9$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.446841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No49c623.03$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.651,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Yes53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No57c583$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.877866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c436.56$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No43c408.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7923660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes59c353$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.846740.3%27 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No39c330.62$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.684057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No61c319.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.466460.9%39 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18042151.3%216 W · 205 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No62c290.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.433268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No41c288$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9215150.3%76 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes32c263.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2822548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c243.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.870842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No62c226.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.123876.3%29 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes65c221.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No42c216.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.018859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c214.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Yes60c204.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.453036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No42c201.02$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9931359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes34c200.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5113861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No71c188.53$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.77853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c186.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.041,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes56c178.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9617058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014144%62 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf651…554ebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No40c171$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No41c171$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8911145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No42c170.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9235751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…dbc8backed Yes60c166.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes56c166$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.963151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No41c160.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.736051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No41c158.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4512542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes15c156$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8924247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Yes60c146.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No41c144$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.962254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbb…be8ebacked Yes57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No45c140.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7913051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes59c138$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.424443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c137.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5892235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes30c137$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Yes57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed No42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+79.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2610441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No78c118.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2482542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No63c117.58$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.683677.8%28 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No58c116.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.323873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No41c116.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.611478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes62c109.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked No43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.655743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes27c103.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked No50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125525.5%14 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142913.8%4 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked No76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.453148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No41c96.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.097832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed No40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.