Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016ae472b7883f681c5a2be6d6f6e5636617433ee7bfac7661448425db32e7ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 46c | 17,148$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,872.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.81 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 46c | 8,888$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 7,214$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 5,797$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.46 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 51c | 3,173$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.96 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 63c | 1,299$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 55c | 953.76$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 867.1$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.61 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 49c | 799.68$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 524.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 519.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed No | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 37c | 422.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 32c | 358$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 79c | 339$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 331.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 316.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 76c | 298.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 16c | 292.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Yes | 47c | 270.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 230.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 49c | 198.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 196$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 56c | 187.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 56c | 178.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 56c | 178.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 172.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 172.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 15c | 154.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 16c | 140.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 50c | 90.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 41c | 82.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…a91cbacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 67c | 63.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1a…9c7bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 57.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 56.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…9d44backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 43c | 52.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Yes | 59c | 50.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked No | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…b3c5backed Yes | 45c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 33c | 42.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 40c | 39.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 54c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 55c | 37.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 29c | 35.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 72c | 35.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 55c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 43c | 23.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 69c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed No | 63c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 65c | 16.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 16.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.