TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac71…b3ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT15748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$30.65
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.53
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
ITF Tauste: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Pavlos Tsitsipasbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
ITF Curtea de Arges: Gabriel Ghetu vs Filippo Francesco Garberobacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$44.17
ITF Poprad: Peter Zavacky vs Alexey Aleshchevbacked Alexey Aleshchev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
ITF Curtea de Arges: Vito Dell'elba vs Cezar Gabriel Papoebacked Cezar Gabriel Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowskibacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Warsaw: Dalma Galfi vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$64.55
ITF Poprad: Heorhii Shylov vs Nico Hipflbacked Nico Hipfl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$9.5
ITF Tianjin: James Van Herzeele vs Geun Jun Kimbacked James Van Herzeele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Set Handicap: Falkowska (-1.5) vs Paszun (+1.5)backed Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.65
Vancouver: Maddison Inglis vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.26
Canada to score first vs. South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
World Cup: Scoreless Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$61.4
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$29.38
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.28
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.46
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advancebacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.43
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.