Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to score first vs. South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42171a9802293d6818111a8adb1810bf12cb443c75362b3388c025df2d13d468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 37c | 15,621$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.32 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 6,032$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 55c | 5,313$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.13 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 27c | 2,400$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.82 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 37c | 1,570$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…5750backed Yes | 36c | 1,394$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.82 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…52cabacked No | 1c | 1,336$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 62c | 1,253$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 1,172$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 35c | 1,041$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.18 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 982.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 748.26$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 62c | 641$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 30c | 624.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 35c | 555.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 55c | 540.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 498.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 39c | 480$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 63c | 476.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 18c | 420$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 62c | 399.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 49c | 353.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 22c | 349.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 58c | 347.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 52c | 338.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 64c | 314.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 65c | 308.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 75c | 305$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 62c | 299.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 62c | 298.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 39c | 295.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…fc1dbacked Yes | 37c | 267.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 264.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 22c | 263.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…ac23backed Yes | 66c | 249.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 75c | 237.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 61c | 235.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 232.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 43c | 209.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…45f5backed Yes | 52c | 207.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…2a5bbacked Yes | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Yes | 50c | 198.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…f05fbacked Yes | 34c | 193.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 36c | 190.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…ea01backed Yes | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Yes | 59c | 175.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 52c | 170.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 62c | 160.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 65c | 154.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…d54abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…be9cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…7670backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked No | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 63c | 143$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 62c | 109.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 108.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…dc6cbacked No | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…abbdbacked Yes | 63c | 106.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…61ccbacked Yes | 60c | 106.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 102.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbee…ceadbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 36c | 83.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…089ebacked Yes | 51c | 82.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 63c | 80.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…7075backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…23efbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5a…deb7backed Yes | 64c | 78.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050a…49e4backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to score first vs. South Africa?this page
- South Africa to score first vs. Canada?No won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.