TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e34…9434

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.04
Canada to score first vs. South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.64
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$59.51
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.22
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.91
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.92
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.31
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.5
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+226.7%+$42.83
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.39
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$73.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$67.12
Netherlands leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$68.46
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.6
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$68.99
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Austria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.38
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$173.94
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$80.24
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$57.6
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.07
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.23
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$59.47
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.25
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$53.69
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+402.7%+$71.86
idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.72
Will Opinion launch a token on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$133.04
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.7%+$14.09
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.1
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$29.9
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.95
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.52
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.03
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+71.6%+$175.85
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$67.98
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.6%+$57.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.31
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$90.15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$46.86
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$238.17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+55%+$77.67
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+734.6%+$77.92
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Will Apple dip to $248 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Meta dip to $640 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$33.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$30.45
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$490.12
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$28.45
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.29
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$94.17
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$19.22
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.61
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$79.12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$30.83
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+232.1%+$49.66
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$118.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$107.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.75
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.9
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31%+$54.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+191.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+203.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+82.2%+$93.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$26.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$73.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.