Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e25f753ae47dbdf2705d35e0a45db24d3a1b2996b82a1350ade2c7e92c4f93

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,670,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,283,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,670,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x664c…f49cbacked Yes	22c	2,359,728$509,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850,585.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+114.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	79c	972,023$770,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770,904.14	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes	21c	521,504$110,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410,940.66	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes	19c	417,660$78,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338,721.98	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	80c	371,060$296,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296,333.28	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	78c	367,649$288,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288,491.83	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	20c	328,385$66,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261,464.45	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	50c	230,321$115,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115,020.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	79c	211,001$167,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167,430.91	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	23c	193,128$44,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148,523.25	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	77c	175,594$135,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,470.74	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	63c	169,705$107,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,375.78	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No	79c	153,000$121,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121,481.96	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Yes	24c	117,781$28,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89,554.45	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	19c	105,289$20,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84,878.79	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes	26c	102,632$26,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,900.92	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed No	80c	101,377$80,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80,689.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+148.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No	77c	99,105$76,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,585.78	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	80c	94,804$75,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,749.98	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f49…8b89backed No	78c	94,766$74,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74,012.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…616cbacked No	78c	88,274$68,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,941.8	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5660…54bfbacked No	78c	87,715$68,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,505.73	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Yes	19c	84,971$16,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,598.08	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	79c	76,666$60,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,865.03	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes	21c	70,000$14,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,529.94	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes	38c	63,261$24,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,233.23	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	21c	61,994$12,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,199.48	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	78c	59,287$46,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,193.68	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	49c	56,673$27,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,644.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	48c	52,605$25,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,232.2	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	40c	52,029$20,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,691.8	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No	79c	51,900$40,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,887	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes	17c	50,000$8,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,533.15	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	48c	48,515$23,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,440.66	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Yes	19c	48,223$9,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,156.86	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No	79c	48,111$37,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,880.33	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No	79c	46,311$36,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,452.05	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	19c	41,061$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,260.66	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	78c	31,637$24,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,534.58	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes	17c	30,000$5,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,956.79	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No	79c	27,800$21,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,823.06	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No	77c	25,813$19,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,806.19	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes	78c	25,332$19,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,471.05	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes	15c	24,848$3,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,032.03	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No	79c	24,000$19,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,007.95	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	44c	23,507$10,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,053.86	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed Yes	21c	23,444$4,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,521.12	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	21c	23,251$4,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,385.2	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No	77c	22,500$17,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,325	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes	23c	21,651$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,650.95	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No	77c	21,589$16,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,719.04	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No	80c	20,891$16,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,622.08	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	65c	20,502$13,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,420.92	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	78c	20,364$15,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,949.81	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	25c	20,108$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,108.01	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed No	77c	20,000$15,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,381	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,400	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	47c	19,106$9,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,017.95	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes	22c	18,182$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,181.82	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No	76c	17,645$13,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,399.3	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	79c	17,500$13,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,860	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes	79c	17,375$13,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,706.12	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes	37c	16,790$6,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,643.98	145	42.8%62 W · 83 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	27c	16,194$4,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,765.36	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No	40c	14,868$5,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,926.96	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	18c	14,583$2,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,030.98	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	19c	14,177$2,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,752.64	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	56c	14,166$7,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,291.34	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Yes	22c	13,556$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,555.71	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes	17c	13,425$2,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,147.97	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No	22c	13,068$2,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,846.42	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked No	77c	12,880$9,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,904.25	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	25c	12,669$3,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,116.56	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes	78c	12,666$9,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,740.52	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Yes	4c	12,660$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,153.41	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+6.7wins	+0.17per pick	19cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes	25c	12,200$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,150	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	34c	11,849$4,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,054.91	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No	78c	11,776$9,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,197.08	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes	17c	11,660$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,677.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	56c	11,230$6,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,247.21	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	79c	10,875$8,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,561.38	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed No	79c	10,854$8,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,569.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	77c	10,526$8,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,142.68	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No	15c	10,324$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.44	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes	23c	10,284$2,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,922.41	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked No	78c	10,082$7,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,872.55	188	51.1%96 W · 92 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes	77c	10,079$7,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.34	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No	77c	10,000$7,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,710	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	24c	9,999$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.74	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No	79c	9,901$7,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,843.48	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2115…7826backed No	74c	9,878$7,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,343.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	18c	9,603$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.2	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	24c	9,395$2,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,109.69	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed No	74c	9,384$6,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,933.96	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No	17c	9,322$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625.49	197	38.1%75 W · 122 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	80c	9,300$7,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,421.29	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No	16c	9,262$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482.88	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…81c8backed No	80c	9,178$7,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,305.49	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No	76c	9,161$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	79c	9,063$7,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,119.35	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?this page
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event