Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe690620297dfea974d20df84b4cf90460e46a26ec864353482717b90509a3c0b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,829,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,271,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,829,443 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 9,983 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x664c…f49cbacked No	44c	3,994,085$1,752,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,241,163.62	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+114.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	44c	2,068,368$914,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153,867.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	56c	1,940,995$1,089,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089,971.73	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes	64c	1,359,363$875,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875,795.32	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes	66c	914,445$605,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605,851.52	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	36c	879,415$314,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564,636.64	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	35c	840,188$289,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550,263.51	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes	56c	594,068$334,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334,460.14	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	52c	530,332$274,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274,149.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No	45c	527,712$239,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288,048.49	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Yes	55c	500,000$274,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274,500	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	48c	494,856$237,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237,235.96	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	53c	412,440$218,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193,662.4	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No	36c	361,748$129,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232,263.63	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No	35c	332,078$116,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215,437.64	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	62c	317,853$197,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,386.79	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	56c	264,037$146,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146,708.65	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	53c	252,224$134,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134,636.31	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	53c	244,343$129,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,460.87	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	38c	228,728$87,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140,937.18	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	62c	225,639$140,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140,454.21	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes	54c	225,000$122,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122,250	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No	38c	219,434$82,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136,742.3	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	60c	215,902$128,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128,467.21	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked No	40c	207,736$82,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124,812.72	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No	40c	203,953$81,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,936.06	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	47c	199,998$93,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105,998.99	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…e553backed Yes	57c	197,260$112,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,438.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes	62c	189,203$116,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,474.24	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	54c	183,395$99,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,823.82	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	46c	175,176$80,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,854.74	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe002…0202backed Yes	65c	164,062$105,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105,946.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	44c	163,394$71,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,158.92	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	44c	160,458$70,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,262.97	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	62c	159,705$98,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,778.88	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No	38c	156,551$59,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,783.63	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No	36c	154,618$56,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,324.5	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c3…674bbacked Yes	51c	152,098$78,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,135.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes	55c	139,030$76,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,430.72	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	39c	136,602$52,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83,913.44	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed No	38c	133,372$51,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,157.21	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes	55c	131,440$72,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,292	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	58c	128,076$73,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,729.23	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No	47c	125,019$58,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,662.98	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No	37c	116,954$43,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,589.43	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	48c	116,455$56,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,026.16	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	43c	114,383$49,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,854.67	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	52c	112,719$58,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,359.69	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No	36c	111,028$39,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,403.98	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	61c	110,834$67,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,985.9	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes	71c	107,461$76,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,232.04	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	54c	101,786$54,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,841.41	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No	44c	97,032$42,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,503.85	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	37c	95,127$35,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,839.19	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	36c	92,325$33,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,816.89	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No	40c	91,018$36,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,662.98	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	47c	84,647$39,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,102.88	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	65c	82,970$53,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,633.38	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Yes	62c	80,319$49,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,428.87	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes	46c	77,746$35,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,879.63	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No	41c	74,258$30,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,145.8	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	46c	73,443$34,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,367.85	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	55c	72,230$39,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,373.76	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No	45c	71,170$32,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,997.25	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	57c	70,604$40,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,449.81	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	73c	68,087$49,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,930.1	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	40c	67,498$27,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,439.45	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No	38c	67,154$25,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,581.17	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes	48c	66,819$32,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,149.33	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	52c	65,385$34,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,000	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No	36c	65,186$23,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,945.2	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x513c…a948backed Yes	29c	65,008$18,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,775.86	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	38c	64,758$24,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,141.16	135	33.3%45 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6315…27a9backed Yes	62c	63,309$39,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,210	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No	38c	62,195$23,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,796.68	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed No	43c	60,881$26,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,403.82	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	17c	60,312$10,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,426.27	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No	46c	60,011$27,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,580.65	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed No	36c	60,000$21,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,465.5	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No	38c	60,000$22,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,145.5	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No	39c	59,999$23,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,719.6	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Yes	62c	59,708$37,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	49c	58,993$29,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,123.24	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No	48c	55,183$26,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,494.3	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	39c	54,999$21,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,824.09	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	60c	54,473$32,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,928.83	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No	36c	53,885$19,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,252.39	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed No	44c	52,532$23,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,470.39	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed No	38c	52,000$19,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,344	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	61c	51,640$31,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,478.57	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	55c	51,263$28,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,068.41	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	0c	51,000$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No	35c	50,240$17,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,875.99	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	35c	50,001$17,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,687.41	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No	40c	49,412$19,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,449.4	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	42c	49,041$20,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,212.91	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No	35c	48,286$16,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,514.68	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No	41c	47,562$19,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,243.09	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No	41c	47,543$19,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,872.9	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	49c	46,065$22,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,662.64	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?this page
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?No won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event