TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6d6…be17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250,000
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,532
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$166,542.34
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,803.92
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$251,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$251,391.87
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24,444.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,296.01
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104,177.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$98,166.42
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$96,169.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$382.84
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,392.07
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88,989.77
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,000
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80,269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$31,054.33
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$281,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$221,913.46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$184,197.89
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$341,744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$221,406.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.76
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$498,125.76
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,014.02
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,416.67
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15,769.91
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$792,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$333,862.59
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,639.83
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$8,839.41
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,000
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,000
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$16,874.75
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.76
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$815.2
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,001.25
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$803.88
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$775.58
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.05
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$409.6
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$389.61
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$593.61
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.52
Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$264.73
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$114.81
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.46
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56,528.36
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,994.91
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,433.96
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37,655.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,666.52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,638.3
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$20,011.86
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11,276.6
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13,898.31
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,000
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9,230.77
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$6,975.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$497,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+27%+$134,166.28
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$992,802Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$425,486.37
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495,669Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$405,547.16
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$89,935.79
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$55,161.14
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,606.4
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$150,038.68
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,460.64
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,139.67
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99,135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$62,997.51
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+98%+$97.15
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.03
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$2,740.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$362.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.