NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b650fa075f3f99e9fab3aa95ceeb18f642c1d30a715d38fbbdfb24ba8da3fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $841,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $858,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 210,293$106,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,771.45 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 103,933$51,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,112.19 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Over | 50c | 86,401$43,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,200.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 86,160$43,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,911.25 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 51c | 85,606$43,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,381.52 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…c71dbacked Over | 50c | 47,215$23,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,607.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 50c | 39,989$19,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,994.5 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 32,905$16,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,781.55 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 63c | 26,592$16,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.79 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 48c | 21,581$10,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,359.05 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 51c | 16,839$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.1 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.27 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 51c | 13,738$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 51c | 13,474$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.62 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 13,038$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.49 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Under | 53c | 12,650$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,703.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 49c | 11,390$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.09 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 11,166$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.3 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 10,745$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Over | 49c | 10,413$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 51c | 10,400$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 50c | 9,790$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.97 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 9,467$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Over | 49c | 9,141$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 7,774$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.58 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 6,064$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 48c | 5,483$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.34 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Under | 51c | 5,150$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c5…668ebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 51c | 4,722$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 50c | 4,668$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.78 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…1073backed Over | 49c | 4,622$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 50c | 4,397$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.34 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 4,195$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 3,810$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.87 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 3,569$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Under | 50c | 3,533$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…a869backed Under | 50c | 3,532$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 51c | 3,530$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.69 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…fd9bbacked Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Under | 50c | 3,442$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…28f3backed Over | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 47c | 2,764$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.79 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 2,659$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.28 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 2,629$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.57 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 2,439$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 50c | 2,430$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.07 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 50c | 2,384$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 49c | 2,382$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.83 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 2,378$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.04 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 51c | 2,270$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Over | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 60c | 1,835$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.88 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.04 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,639$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.57 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 50c | 1,539$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.76 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 1,493$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 1,464$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.06 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.26 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Over | 49c | 1,381$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.26 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 53c | 1,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.7 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 50c | 1,126$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,001$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.33 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.