TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$841,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$858,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c210,293$106,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,771.4585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c103,933$51,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,112.1969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over50c86,401$43,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,200.641560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under51c86,160$43,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,911.2514538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under51c85,606$43,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,381.525940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55f7…c71dbacked Over50c47,215$23,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,607.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under50c39,989$19,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,994.518651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c32,905$16,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,781.5548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over63c26,592$16,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,909.7993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under48c21,581$10,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,359.0548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Under51c16,839$8,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,588.14261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Under49c15,000$7,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,331.2711447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under51c13,738$7,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,006.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over51c13,474$6,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,567.6220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c13,038$6,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.4955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Under53c12,650$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Over49c11,390$5,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,809.093036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c11,166$5,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,642.364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c10,745$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6879…a58dbacked Over49c10,413$5,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,310.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under51c10,400$5,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3041361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.084042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over50c10,200$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10010949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under50c9,790$4,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.979741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c9,467$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.1684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe467…d3ebbacked Over49c9,141$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c7,774$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.587963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9f…db18backed Under50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c6,064$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0602055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.9884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under48c5,483$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.3411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Under51c5,150$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6163743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c5…668ebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under51c4,722$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over50c4,668$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.7819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03c5…1073backed Over49c4,622$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over50c4,397$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.3424159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c4,195$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c3,810$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.8789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c3,569$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c59…1862backed Under50c3,533$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2821…a869backed Under50c3,532$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c3,530$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.694362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8322…fd9bbacked Under50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89f…1d11backed Under50c3,442$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over50c3,100$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5505745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.22875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over49c3,020$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.26241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over49c3,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323b…28f3backed Over49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c2,764$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.791,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c2,659$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.2852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c2,629$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.579447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c2,439$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under50c2,430$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.0786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under50c2,384$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under49c2,382$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.831,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under50c2,378$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.0412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over51c2,270$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.35358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over49c1,930$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.233951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over60c1,835$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.8823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over49c1,655$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.047143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c1,639$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.5789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7522857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over50c1,539$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c1,493$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.751,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Under51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c1,464$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over49c1,426$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over49c1,381$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.264173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over53c1,320$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over53c1,143$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under50c1,126$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50416050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c1,001$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over48c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.