NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf2b0b740693fdba8a44ee7cdec5ce0909b455e94f80f11289c23af406f6aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 54c | 23,062$12,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 15,658$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 15,604$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.36 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 13,138$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.53 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 12,284$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 10,334$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.65 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 6,672$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 4,862$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.48 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…5166backed Over | 56c | 4,796$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 4,240$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.85 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 3,920$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…5cdfbacked Over | 55c | 3,520$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 3,378$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.29 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 55c | 2,954$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.91 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Over | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 2,293$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.73 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 2,192$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.17 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 45c | 2,118$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.98 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 56c | 1,969$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.2 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.38 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 63c | 1,929$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.05 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 36c | 1,788$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.91 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Over | 57c | 1,456$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 58c | 1,325$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.9 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,223$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 56c | 1,142$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.83 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 1,122$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.78 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 1,100$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Under | 43c | 1,078$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 54c | 1,060$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 65c | 923.2$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.2 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 65c | 896.65$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 891.57$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 857.94$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.07 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 799.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.11 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 58c | 798.77$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.57 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 741.35$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.66 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…492abacked Over | 56c | 696.25$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 54c | 668.58$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 615.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 58c | 559.65$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 56c | 535.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 44c | 517.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 79c | 486.11$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 54c | 461.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 38c | 407.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 381.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 58c | 334.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Over | 55c | 307.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 44c | 304.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…8812backed Over | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 45c | 266.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 258.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 52c | 250.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 46c | 248.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…43e6backed Over | 62c | 243.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe284…4018backed Under | 45c | 238.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 61c | 234.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 203.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 58c | 198.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Over | 56c | 190.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 56c | 180.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Over | 58c | 169.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 55c | 152.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…78cfbacked Over | 64c | 125.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 122.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Under | 25c | 120.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 54c | 118.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 44c | 112.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 110.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…e98dbacked Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Over | 52c | 108.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 74c | 101.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…7fd1backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.