NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802f0bc2deefe7a297dd5ac5a5fc4db6f9e133e442072d51e6dba09afbf318d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 67c | 18,886$12,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.54 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 68c | 16,477$11,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.56 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder | 33c | 15,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder | 32c | 11,961$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.37 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Thunder | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Thunder | 33c | 3,641$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 67c | 3,314$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.46 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 32c | 2,400$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 67c | 1,875$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 9c | 1,742$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 67c | 1,665$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.48 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 15c | 1,503$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Thunder | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 11c | 1,449$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 11c | 1,356$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Spurs | 68c | 1,347$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Thunder | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Thunder | 33c | 999.96$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Spurs | 69c | 728.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 8c | 721.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 33c | 600.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Spurs | 69c | 599.55$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 10c | 564.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 6c | 525.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Thunder | 33c | 340$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 69c | 304.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Thunder | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Spurs | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…59cbbacked Spurs | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Thunder | 33c | 290.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 33c | 289.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 12c | 271.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs | 75c | 267.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Spurs | 68c | 255.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked Spurs | 67c | 234.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Spurs | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 12c | 208$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs | 71c | 203.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Thunder | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Spurs | 78c | 187.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 12c | 183$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…9990backed Thunder | 15c | 169.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 12c | 159$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Thunder | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Spurs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Thunder | 8c | 134.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Thunder | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Thunder | 12c | 126.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs | 75c | 120.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 33c | 120.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6805backed Thunder | 35c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Thunder | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Spurs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Thunder | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Spurs | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Thunder | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 13c | 81.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Thunder | 20c | 78.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e44cbacked Thunder | 33c | 78.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Spurs | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 33c | 77.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Spurs | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Spurs | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Spurs | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Thunder | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Thunder | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Thunder | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 27c | 52.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Spurs | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 66c | 49.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed Spurs | 67c | 46.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Thunder | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…eb7fbacked Thunder | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked Spurs | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Spurs | 70c | 35.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Thunder | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 67c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Spurs | 68c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Spurs | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Spurs | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Spurs | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Spurs | 69c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.