TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Spurs67c18,886$12,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,182.5415644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs68c16,477$11,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.5664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder33c15,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9911447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder32c11,961$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.3711333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Thunder33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.132138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Thunder33c3,641$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.572343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs67c3,314$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.4684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder32c2,400$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs67c1,875$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder9c1,742$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs67c1,665$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.481,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder15c1,503$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Thunder31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder11c1,449$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder11c1,356$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Spurs68c1,347$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.024450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Thunder33c999.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Thunder33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.995058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa370…f228backed Spurs69c728.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.91758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder8c721.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder33c600.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Spurs69c599.55$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2211452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder10c564.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder6c525.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs80c500$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10136243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7618853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e0e…f497backed Thunder33c340$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs69c304.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Thunder33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed Spurs67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x946c…59cbbacked Spurs68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Thunder33c290.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.06128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder33c289.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6419959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Thunder12c271.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs75c267.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.351080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Spurs68c255.68$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked Spurs67c234.33$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.334042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…4245backed Spurs68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder12c208$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.741,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Spurs71c203.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.323164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Thunder33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Thunder38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7640548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4085449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Spurs78c187.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.949654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Thunder12c183$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064b…9990backed Thunder15c169.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder12c159$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Thunder34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Spurs68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Thunder8c134.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Thunder34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Thunder12c126.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs75c120.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2617848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder33c120.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6805backed Thunder35c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Thunder33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.38020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Spurs69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315369.8%37 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Thunder18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed Spurs67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Thunder34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder13c81.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7321953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Thunder20c78.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.753141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e44cbacked Thunder33c78.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.748353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Thunder33c77.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Spurs68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5334661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Spurs68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5312961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…3cccbacked Spurs69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Thunder34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Thunder34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014040%56 W · 84 L-13.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Thunder34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder27c52.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Spurs65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs66c49.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.859271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd958…f975backed Spurs67c46.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Thunder34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…eb7fbacked Thunder35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs67c39.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8faa…1b5cbacked Spurs67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.314238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Spurs70c35.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Thunder33c30.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs67c24.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Spurs67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3951946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Spurs68c22.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.165246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Spurs67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.269655.2%53 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Spurs69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.743050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Spurs65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Spurs69c17.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.