TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb046…857cbacked No35c564.39$198 inWon+$366.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes64c311.77$200 inLost-$2004942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked No41c256.1$105 inWon+$151.12458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes59c250$147 inLost-$147.556050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes65c240$156 inLost-$1569050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No37c197.27$73 inWon+$124.281,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…1415backed Yes62c197.06$122 inLost-$121.771080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No38c157.68$60 inWon+$97.7685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Yes63c154.3$97 inLost-$97.211844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No38c109.51$42 inWon+$67.9533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No41c102.33$42 inWon+$60.4453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes60c100$60 inLost-$6013551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked No39c97.12$38 inWon+$59.4928943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa109…c0b8backed Yes62c79.84$49 inLost-$49.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No40c75$30 inWon+$4514953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Yes61c65.91$40 inLost-$40.22568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No36c60.92$22 inWon+$38.9919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes17c60.24$10 inLost-$10.2442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No37c60$22 inWon+$37.843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6659…792bbacked Yes62c51.94$32 inLost-$322445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes63c49.99$31 inLost-$31.496150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost-$3015054.7%82 W · 68 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98c6…e7a3backed Yes61c40.57$25 inLost-$24.751850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked No39c40$16 inWon+$24.416951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No37c37.5$14 inWon+$23.6619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c34.57$19 inWon+$15.91,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No39c34.1$13 inWon+$20.833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.