NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215be7e1cbc744ce1a85fb891db92b53f933712b5a556e556657c3254f63d260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,019,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,540,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,019,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,835 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 45c | 1,514,955$679,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835,158.05 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 53c | 985,452$525,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459,787.89 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 56c | 630,552$355,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,609.06 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 44c | 550,001$241,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308,587.47 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 57c | 499,999$284,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,999.44 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Thunder | 56c | 440,040$246,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,422.52 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Spurs | 42c | 414,569$174,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,450.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Thunder | 57c | 413,289$235,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,402 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Spurs | 43c | 402,491$173,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,766.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 57c | 349,271$199,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,084.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Thunder | 18c | 324,016$59,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,081.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 57c | 318,093$182,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,648.53 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 56c | 312,582$176,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,054.63 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Thunder | 57c | 308,677$175,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,945.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 48c | 307,847$149,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,573.95 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 260,892$128,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,252.99 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 57c | 235,999$133,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,519.54 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Spurs | 61c | 183,391$111,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,389.67 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 68c | 178,574$122,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,332.88 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 57c | 164,591$94,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,225.09 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 57c | 154,999$87,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,799.7 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Thunder | 24c | 151,697$36,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,492.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 57c | 140,000$79,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,799.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Thunder | 57c | 132,332$75,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,669.25 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Spurs | 43c | 130,783$56,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,546.44 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 57c | 128,764$73,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,395.24 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…49b2backed Thunder | 42c | 125,657$53,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,137.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Thunder | 57c | 124,947$71,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,219.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 42c | 119,998$50,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,599.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…fa56backed Thunder | 39c | 113,405$44,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,420.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Spurs | 41c | 101,636$41,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,965.47 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Thunder | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 56c | 95,816$53,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,928.27 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Spurs | 42c | 87,620$36,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,819.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 44c | 79,545$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,545.45 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Thunder | 54c | 76,368$41,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,446.38 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Thunder | 58c | 75,839$43,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,986.48 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 43c | 75,000$32,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,799.81 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…8cc2backed Spurs | 63c | 74,021$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,021.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Thunder | 56c | 71,648$39,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,987.68 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 52c | 71,010$37,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,825.46 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Thunder | 58c | 70,906$41,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,125.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,599.95 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,599.8 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs | 61c | 68,712$42,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,553.16 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 57c | 67,544$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,499.81 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Thunder | 57c | 66,178$37,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,721.24 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 41c | 65,223$26,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,633.24 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…bdf0backed Thunder | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…0792backed Thunder | 57c | 57,784$32,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,937.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 49c | 50,882$24,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,898.9 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Thunder | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Spurs | 43c | 50,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 34cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 20c | 45,068$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.52 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 57c | 44,000$25,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,079.87 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spurs | 42c | 43,588$18,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,272.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 31cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Thunder | 27c | 43,064$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,749.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Spurs | 43c | 41,201$17,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,484.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 44c | 41,000$18,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,960 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Thunder | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,399.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Spurs | 54c | 40,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.96 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked Thunder | 52c | 38,580$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Spurs | 44c | 36,889$16,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,657.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 52c | 36,000$18,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,560 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 2c | 35,654$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.08 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Thunder | 46c | 35,148$16,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,168.28 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 56c | 34,352$19,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,373.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Spurs | 43c | 34,244$14,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,519 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Thunder | 40c | 34,026$13,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,751.91 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Spurs | 61c | 32,710$19,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,867.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 52c | 32,269$16,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,409.05 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 51c | 30,827$15,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,152.06 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 56c | 30,000$16,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,950.01 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs | 47c | 30,000$13,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,005.47 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…328abacked Thunder | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,099.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Thunder | 18c | 30,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.88 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Thunder | 57c | 29,000$16,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,529.97 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 34c | 28,247$9,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550.85 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Spurs | 43c | 28,211$12,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,080.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 72c | 28,092$20,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Spurs | 43c | 28,000$12,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,960 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 57c | 27,202$15,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,379.59 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spurs | 43c | 27,145$11,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,472.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Spurs | 74c | 27,000$20,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 61c | 26,769$16,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,365.13 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3c01backed Spurs | 43c | 26,534$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,124.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ddeebacked Spurs | 43c | 26,267$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,857.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…5949backed Spurs | 43c | 26,103$11,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Thunder | 15c | 25,166$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.41 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 43c | 25,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649.96 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs | 42c | 24,841$10,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,475.77 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…db10backed Thunder | 27c | 23,996$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Spurs | 43c | 23,256$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,255.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs | 42c | 23,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,340 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 57c | 23,000$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.93 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 57c | 23,000$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.93 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 57c | 23,000$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.9 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 57c | 23,000$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,109.85 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 66c | 22,393$14,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.76 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.