TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab72…0888

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$465.59
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,004.42
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,940.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23,484.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,799.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,926Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,354
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,042.03
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,031.26
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.83
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,096.3
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,271.64
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,523.27
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,664.74
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$417.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.19
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780.68
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$1,076.66
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,709Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$2,705.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$4,524.3
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,165.32
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,066Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$10,567.25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,651.11
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.07
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,677.79
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$584.04
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$4,775.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,879Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$3,778.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$818.83
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$460.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$3,035.39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$1,313.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$2,377.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,616.86
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$762.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+118.3%+$1,890.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$2,545.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,057.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,185.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$443.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$483.05
Will RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.92
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,641Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+67.8%+$2,469.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,053.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$249.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,642.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$789.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.94
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.55
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$602.16
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.39
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.82
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$324.06
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.55
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$798.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,546.18
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$461.03
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,671.76
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunicbacked Danilina/Krunic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$470.67
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+107%+$825.52
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Husseybacked Giles Hussey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$1,475.81
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.37
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,098.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$827.81
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+144.7%+$4,841.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$262.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.