TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under1c22,377$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3920832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under8c18,474$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.991717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under7c18,094$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.591250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under0c11,684$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+131.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under8c11,374$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.628751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under4c9,647$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over14c8,753$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,523.8610051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c8,400$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.1445042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over43c4,507$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Under3c3,720$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under17c3,325$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579c…120cbacked Under10c3,254$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under9c2,400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.687247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c2,277$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.8337753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under40c2,164$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.357140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Under7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under7c1,843$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Under63c1,565$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.861758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Under8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154e…e931backed Under7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under8c1,252$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under7c1,194$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6114953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Under8c1,139$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Under27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under10c1,093$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under8c1,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under8c999.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under8c999.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under8c972.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7734642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c965.09$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Under41c830.76$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under15c800.81$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under10c787.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.791145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Under8c767.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.41020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over75c760.6$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.451338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under37c752.65$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over15c714.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.521973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under7c707.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.463237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Under16c625.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over50c604.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under8c550$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Under7c547.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc39f…136abacked Under8c539$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-83.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under3c514.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.345538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+176.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over78c512.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.89520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Under37c510.84$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.134619.6%9 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Under10c501.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-39.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under34c479.89$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.11030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf03d…2aa1backed Under34c466.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Under22c455.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under8c453.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3231047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c452.49$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.589262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under8c451.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0932944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…8843backed Under47c446.73$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under17c441.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9514736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Under7c428.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under8c415.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under8c412.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c401.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0835860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under17c382.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x538f…b40ebacked Under11c375$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+142.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under65c369.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.46850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+247.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under10c358.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8870%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba4…4cddbacked Under27c358.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c311.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.117538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Under7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Over35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under6c299.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab2…818dbacked Under63c299.68$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under70c286.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under8c282$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5614255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Under8c262.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Under55c255.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205541.8%23 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under8c245.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.455433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6c…d024backed Under9c244.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+121.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over59c242.12$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.481513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-74.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under7c231$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Under9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…4a39backed Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over42c216.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7737…7851backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over19c199.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.051631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1d…4d41backed Under6c199.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c192.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7324245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8160…f179backed Over60c189.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Under9c188.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa6…39dbbacked Under55c182.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.