TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac20…a68a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77%+$230.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$236.65
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.7
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Athletic Club leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$70.65
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$625.64
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$314.86
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$199.71
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.56
Levante UD leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$647.63
Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.96
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+127%+$702.68
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+259%+$888.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.23
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$1,762.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+272.6%+$465.83
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$115.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$129.72
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.08
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$61.91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+380.4%+$380.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$76.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$540.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$859.2
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$2,676.92
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$291
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$427.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$1,084.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$182.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$60.59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+96.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,224.14
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$1,457.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$469.57
AS Monaco FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Porto leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$261.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$204.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.