La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca69afa3bc7077b1eed920bafc9d8518e082248efb2d33124817c338362b6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 31c | 935.16$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 507$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 437.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 431.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.73 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 236.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 217$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 72c | 211.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 29c | 191.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 179.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 127.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 117.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 20c | 104.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 26.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 26.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 69c | 16.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD leading at halftime?this page
- Sevilla FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.