TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88b1…3678

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 62 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.05
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.1
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.48
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.28
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$283.04
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$395.78
Ningbo Rockets vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.74
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+349.5%+$466.51
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.6
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$355.65
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.9
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.51
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.13
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+267%+$291
Will Netherlands vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+230%+$554.06
Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.93
Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Will Slovakia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Denmark vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.39
Will Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.58
Will United Arab Emirates vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick28cpaid+194.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+94.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$136.41
CA Osasuna leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$63.71
Will FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.