Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f00c4d611afcdd5ace73ceac9796247bdc7eb0bbb0da38fda74db2e31b618dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,381 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 7,579$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,585$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 15c | 1,082$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…c3a4backed Yes | 25c | 792$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…110fbacked No | 75c | 792$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 72c | 416.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 336.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 12c | 317$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 282.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 206.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 71c | 200.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 18c | 180.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 19c | 141.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 28c | 128.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 49c | 120.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 119.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 14c | 117.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 107.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 18c | 107.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 14c | 105.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 100.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 96.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked No | 66c | 69.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…5ee5backed Yes | 17c | 68.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 32c | 65.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 21c | 65.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…26a6backed Yes | 75c | 64.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 72c | 52.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 33c | 51.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 44.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 75c | 41.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 37c | 40.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 32.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 26.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 16.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.