TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc22c…e8e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$124.72
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.49
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65.67
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.24
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$877.57
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$173.02
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$52.89
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+27%+$467.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$971.43
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$306.88
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+203%+$21.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$239.47
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$112.49
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.65
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$54.09
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$17.74
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$665.49
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.8%+$54.74
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$37.33
Will SC Braga vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$47.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$92.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.