NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4278f44f90740d7d6a7b574f7376ad5ed1223ca2660580ed5c2ab5111e588aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,574,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,764,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,574,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,897 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd81…9640backed Spurs | 48c | 845,442$402,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443,208.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs | 24c | 708,630$170,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537,972.88 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Thunder | 76c | 408,333$308,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308,333.3 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Spurs | 25c | 384,678$97,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286,814.98 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Spurs | 28c | 364,284$102,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262,026.83 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 75c | 231,454$173,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,590.28 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Thunder | 76c | 230,000$174,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,799.79 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 75c | 210,630$158,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,923.55 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 60c | 209,323$125,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,356.49 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 28c | 179,803$51,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,779.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 27c | 177,000$46,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,079.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 75c | 172,660$129,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,165.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 35c | 168,554$59,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,734.34 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 26c | 165,122$42,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,821.83 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 75c | 165,000$123,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,750 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs | 26c | 153,791$39,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,518.67 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 75c | 121,704$91,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,761.64 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 72c | 112,429$80,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,726.33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 75c | 103,622$78,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,107.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 73c | 96,778$70,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,648.02 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 78c | 91,454$71,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,060.88 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 76c | 75,815$57,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,589.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 75c | 74,426$56,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,089.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Thunder | 75c | 72,120$54,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,189.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Spurs | 27c | 64,894$17,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,570.71 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 25c | 63,820$15,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,886.97 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 77c | 62,041$47,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,657.86 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 75c | 61,229$46,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,010.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 26c | 53,846$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,846.15 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 76c | 50,694$38,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,506.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Thunder | 53c | 50,432$26,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,771.06 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 76c | 49,000$37,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,050 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Spurs | 50c | 48,472$24,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,236 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Spurs | 24c | 47,822$11,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,344.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 76c | 47,300$35,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,948 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 55c | 46,859$25,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,708.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Spurs | 25c | 44,430$11,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,322.67 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Thunder | 76c | 40,000$30,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Spurs | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.98 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Spurs | 24c | 40,000$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,319.87 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 33c | 38,494$12,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,667.72 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Thunder | 75c | 35,275$26,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,456.54 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs | 25c | 35,265$8,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,448.99 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Spurs | 24c | 32,298$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,586.04 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 61c | 32,090$19,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,437.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 78c | 32,082$24,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,987.99 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 28c | 30,141$8,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,440.76 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 29,181$14,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,732.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Thunder | 75c | 28,888$21,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,666 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Thunder | 72c | 25,082$18,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,122.64 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 26c | 24,890$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,368.51 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Spurs | 57c | 24,760$14,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,648.04 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Thunder | 75c | 24,316$18,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,237.37 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 76c | 23,629$17,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,930.73 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 40c | 23,349$9,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,435.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 75c | 23,031$17,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,273.53 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 47c | 22,437$10,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,587.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Spurs | 25c | 21,384$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,038 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 29c | 21,279$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,198.87 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 24c | 20,778$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Thunder | 75c | 20,385$15,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,288.72 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Spurs | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 51c | 19,507$9,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,948.75 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Thunder | 77c | 18,930$14,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,584.7 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 30c | 18,752$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Spurs | 23c | 18,431$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,149.52 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 74c | 18,150$13,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,486.66 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs | 24c | 17,950$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,642 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked Thunder | 75c | 17,915$13,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,457.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 24c | 17,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,299.86 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 75c | 17,000$12,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,810 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 75c | 16,869$12,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,576.05 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 69c | 16,824$11,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655.57 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 75c | 15,926$11,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.89 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 41c | 15,901$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.17 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Spurs | 27c | 15,594$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,383.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Thunder | 76c | 13,796$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 60c | 13,235$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.87 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Thunder | 76c | 12,904$9,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,767 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Spurs | 32c | 12,711$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Thunder | 4c | 12,339$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Thunder | 77c | 12,043$9,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,289.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Spurs | 25c | 12,000$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,056 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Thunder | 23c | 11,801$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.3 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Thunder | 10c | 11,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Thunder | 75c | 10,978$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.87 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Thunder | 74c | 10,788$7,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,983.07 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Spurs | 24c | 10,625$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.63 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 25c | 10,417$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spurs | 38c | 10,272$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.01 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 73c | 10,050$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,362.78 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Spurs | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…78cdbacked Spurs | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c7…c6a6backed Spurs | 25c | 9,995$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,496.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Thunder | 44c | 9,586$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 75c | 9,342$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.3 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.