TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c26,187$12,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,627.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under49c11,440$5,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.381,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b45…c376backed Over52c9,703$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…916bbacked Over52c6,315$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.121,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f6…fbfbbacked Over52c5,577$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over48c4,810$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.9229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0081…5014backed Over52c4,423$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,928$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03d…1b36backed Over52c3,661$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeec…c3c9backed Over52c3,077$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c2,604$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.1747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5f…622fbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89da…04dfbacked Over52c680.77$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c670.1$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over54c667.04$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.21,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c623$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over52c588.78$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6313041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over37c500$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c498.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.062,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbda…5a5ebacked Over52c330.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17260%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under68c294.95$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under46c193$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.119258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under45c181$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.557753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over39c150.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.523342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.158752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over52c87.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6723153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under47c74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.223458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.815651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under45c68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.48552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under45c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.34052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c63.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.84643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under48c50.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1142143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.17451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.112927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under47c33.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8621056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.438355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over56c29.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Over50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Over55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Over55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Over55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x696d…6d8bbacked Over56c21.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Over53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124580%36 W · 9 L+12.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.453834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.