TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7d4…c5cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.04
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.04
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.16
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-4.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$17.49
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.78
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-11.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.04
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-2.5)backed Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.12
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.18
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-11.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.69
Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.34
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Spread: Missouri State Bears (-3.5)backed Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.56
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Spread: Towson Tigers (-9.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$16.72
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.88
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.52
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.94
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$33.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.46
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.04
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.74
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Faerjestadbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.05
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.26
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Brynaesbacked Leksands IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Traktorbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.72
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astanabacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.75
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick69cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.5
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.94
Will FC Alverca win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.22
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.14
Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Comesanabacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.58
Diallo vs. Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Nakashima vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Royer vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.36
Set 1 Winner: Costoulas vs Tararudeebacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Samsonova vs. Vondrousova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$25.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.89
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Olimpia Milano vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$18.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston (-1.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)backed Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.21
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.12
Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: RIZON vs Dortmund Gesichtenhausen (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Bbacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.